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Difaa EL Jadida v Renaissance Berkane: numbers & prediction

Botola Pro · Morocco
Difaa EL Jadida 18%Draw 25%Renaissance Berkane 58% Expected goals 0.94 – 1.62
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 53% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRenaissance Berkane to win ✓58% · @1.44
Double chanceRenaissance Berkane or draw ✓82% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49

Difaa EL Jadida vs Renaissance Berkane: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 5 July the Botola Pro brings Difaa EL Jadida against Renaissance Berkane. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Difaa EL Jadida are 11th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Renaissance Berkane are 9th (lower half) with 8. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Difaa EL Jadida, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Yacoub El Mansour, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Renaissance Berkane, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Wydad AC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Difaa EL Jadida 0.9 xG, Renaissance Berkane 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Difaa EL Jadida 18%, draw 25%, Renaissance Berkane 58%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Difaa EL Jadida 0–1 Renaissance Berkane. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Difaa EL Jadida18%fair 5.70 · @7.75
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.65
Renaissance Berkane58%fair 1.73 · @1.44
2.56Expected goals
0.94Difaa EL Jadida xG
1.62Renaissance Berkane xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Difaa EL Jadida 0.9 – 1.6 Renaissance Berkane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRenaissance Berkane to win ✓58%1.731.44
Double chanceRenaissance Berkane or draw ✓82%1.211.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.872.25 ▲
Draw no betRenaissance Berkane (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapDifaa EL Jadida +1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.331.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreRenaissance Berkane to score first ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Renaissance Berkane / FT Renaissance Berkane ✓32%3.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.49–

Recent results

Difaa EL Jadida – last 6

DDWWLD
2 Jul@ Yacoub El Mansour2–2D
28 Junvs Kawkab Marrakech1–1D
25 Jun@ UTS Rabat2–1W
21 Junvs Wydad AC1–0W
17 Jun@ Maghreb Fès1–2L
12 Junvs Olympique Dcheïra2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Renaissance Berkane – last 6

WLDWDL
2 Julvs Wydad AC2–0W
28 Jun@ FUS Rabat1–2L
25 Junvs FAR Rabat2–2D
21 Jun@ Maghreb Fès2–1W
18 Junvs Olympique Safi0–0D
14 Jun@ Hassania Agadir0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Difaa EL Jadida and Renaissance Berkane.

Difaa EL Jadida vs Renaissance Berkane head-to-head page →

Botola Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kawkab Marrakech7511+416
2CODM Meknès7421+614
3Raja Casablanca7331+212
4FAR Rabat6321+411
5Wydad AC7322+111
6Maghreb Fès7322+111
7Ittihad Tanger7313-110
8Hassania Agadir7232+29
9Renaissance Berkane6150+28
10FUS Rabat7223-18
11Difaa EL Jadida7223-28
12UTS Rabat7223-28
13Amal Tiznit7214-47
14Widad Témara7313+36
15Moghreb Tetouan7034-83
16CR Khemis Zemamra7025-72

More Botola Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Difaa EL Jadida vs Renaissance Berkane?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Difaa EL Jadida vs Renaissance Berkane?

On our numbers Difaa EL Jadida have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Renaissance Berkane 58%.

How many goals will there be in Difaa EL Jadida vs Renaissance Berkane?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Difaa EL Jadida vs Renaissance Berkane?

Our predicted score is Difaa EL Jadida 0–1 Renaissance Berkane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Difaa EL Jadida vs Renaissance Berkane?

Difaa EL Jadida vs Renaissance Berkane (Botola Pro) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.