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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Beroe v Ludogorets II: numbers & prediction

Second League · Bulgaria · Stadion Beroe

Beroe

LWDLL
2–0
FT
Beroe 40%Draw 25%Ludogorets II 34% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.25
51%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.95Odds
2

Value bet: Ludogorets II to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBeroe to win ✓40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.01

Beroe vs Ludogorets II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ludogorets II travel to face Beroe on Monday 10 August in the Second League, with Stadion Beroe the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Beroe are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Ludogorets II are 9th (upper half) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Beroe, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Ludogorets II, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Ludogorets II, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Beroe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Beroe 1.3 xG, Ludogorets II 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Beroe 40%, draw 25%, Ludogorets II 34%.
  • Price worth noting: Ludogorets II to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beroe 1–1 Ludogorets II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Beroe40%fair 2.48 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.20
Ludogorets II34%fair 2.91 · @3.25
2.57Expected goals
1.32Beroe xG
1.25Ludogorets II xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Beroe 1.3 – 1.2 Ludogorets II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BeroeLudogorets II
Attack vs Second League average+8%+11%
Goals conceded vs average+11%-22%
Our expected goals here1.431.45

Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeroe to win ✓40%2.482.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.98–
Draw no betBeroe (draw no bet) ✓54%1.85–
Asian handicapLudogorets II +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.971.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreBeroe to score first ✓47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beroe / FT Beroe ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.01–

Recent results

Beroe – last 6

LWDLLL
1 Aug@ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas0–1L
24 Julvs Hebar 19182–1W
18 Julvs Zagorets0–0D
15 Julvs Maritsa Milevo1–2L
12 Jul@ Botev Plovdiv0–4L
22 May@ Botev Vratsa0–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ludogorets II – last 6

WWLWWW
3 Augvs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa2–1W
28 Jul@ Rilski Sportist1–0W
4 Jul@ Yantra 20192–3L
23 Mayvs Spartak Pleven3–1W
11 Mayvs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3–1W
4 May@ Hebar 19182–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Beroe and Ludogorets II.

Beroe vs Ludogorets II head-to-head page →

Second League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia II15942+1831
2Vihren15852+1529
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas15852+1429
4Fratria14743+1025
5Yantra 201915735+524
6Hebar 191815726+723
7Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa15654+123
8Beroe15645+322
9Ludogorets II14644+622
10Spartak Pleven15636-921
11Etar Veliko Tarnovo14635+121
12Rilski Sportist15555020
13Marek15537-418
14Nesebar15537-118
15Montana15438-1115
16Sportist Svoge15267-912
17Dobrudzha14248-1310
18Pirin Blagoevgrad150213-332

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beroe vs Ludogorets II?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Beroe vs Ludogorets II?

On our numbers Beroe have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ludogorets II 34%.

How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Ludogorets II?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beroe vs Ludogorets II?

Our predicted score is Beroe 1–1 Ludogorets II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Beroe vs Ludogorets II?

Beroe vs Ludogorets II (Second League) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Beroe.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.