Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Sportist Svoge to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSportist Svoge to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chanceSportist Svoge or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.90
Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sportist Svoge welcome Pirin Blagoevgrad to Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov for a Second League fixture on Sunday 9 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Sportist Svoge are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 15 matches; Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2.
Current form
Sportist Svoge, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dobrudzha, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pirin Blagoevgrad, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CSKA Sofia II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sportist Svoge, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Head to head
When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Sportist Svoge 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportist Svoge 1.9 xG, Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportist Svoge 58%, draw 24%, Pirin Blagoevgrad 18%.
Lower-risk option: Sportist Svoge or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Sportist Svoge to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sportist Svoge or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportist Svoge 1–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportist Svoge58%fair 1.72 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.20
Pirin Blagoevgrad18%fair 5.68 · @3.90
2.69Expected goals
1.87Sportist Svoge xG
0.82Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sportist Svoge 1.9 – 0.8 Pirin Blagoevgrad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sportist Svoge
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Attack vs Second League average
-27%
-42%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+53%
Our expected goals here
1.88
0.69
Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our pick is Sportist Svoge or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
On our numbers Sportist Svoge have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pirin Blagoevgrad 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our predicted score is Sportist Svoge 1–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
