Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultNesebar to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceNesebar or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 13.24
Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Second League brings Nesebar against Pirin Blagoevgrad at Gradski stadion. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Nesebar are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nesebar, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sportist Svoge, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pirin Blagoevgrad, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Hebar 1918, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Nesebar, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nesebar 2.1 xG, Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 51% for three or more goals, 47% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nesebar 64%, draw 21%, Pirin Blagoevgrad 15%.
Lower-risk option: Nesebar or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nesebar to win (64%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nesebar 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nesebar64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.30
Pirin Blagoevgrad15%fair 6.74 · @5.00
3.00Expected goals
2.09Nesebar xG
0.91Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
47%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nesebar 2.1 – 0.9 Pirin Blagoevgrad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nesebar to win✓
64%
1.57
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Nesebar or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Nesebar (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Nesebar -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
2.08 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Nesebar to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Nesebar ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nesebar / FT Nesebar✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
13.24
–
Recent results
Nesebar – last 6
WWLLDW
16 Aug
@ Sportist Svoge
1–0
W
10 Aug
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
4 Aug
@ Montana
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1–5
L
8 Jul
@ Spartak Varna
1–1
D
13 May
@ Maritsa Plovdiv
5–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 6
LLLLLL
18 Aug
vs Hebar 1918
2–3
L
9 Aug
@ Sportist Svoge
0–1
L
3 Aug
vs CSKA Sofia II
0–3
L
28 Jul
@ Dobrudzha
1–5
L
23 May
@ Fratria
0–3
L
11 May
@ Sportist Svoge
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nesebar and Pirin Blagoevgrad.
What is the prediction for Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our pick is Nesebar to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
On our numbers Nesebar have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pirin Blagoevgrad 15%.
How many goals will there be in Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our predicted score is Nesebar 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
