Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win @ 1.88 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChernomorets 1919 Burgas to win ✓62% · @1.88
Double chanceChernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas travel to face Pirin Blagoevgrad on Saturday 29 August in the Second League, with Hristo Botev the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 15 matches; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pirin Blagoevgrad, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Nesebar, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hebar 1918, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Apr 2026) it ended Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.8 xG, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pirin Blagoevgrad 14%, draw 24%, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 62%.
Lower-risk option: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.86.
Price worth noting: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pirin Blagoevgrad 0–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pirin Blagoevgrad14%fair 7.22 · @3.64
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.26
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas62%fair 1.62 · @1.88
2.68Expected goals
0.80Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
1.88Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.8 – 1.9 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win✓
62%
1.62
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.86
Draw no bet
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.04
First team to score
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas / FT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas✓
What is the prediction for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our pick is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
On our numbers Pirin Blagoevgrad have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 62%.
How many goals will there be in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our predicted score is Pirin Blagoevgrad 0–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
