Marek 66%Draw 22%Nesebar 12%Expected goals 1.91 – 0.70
66%
Betarazi pick
Marek to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultMarek to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceMarek or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.12
Marek vs Nesebar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Marek welcome Nesebar to Stadion Bonchuk for a Second League fixture on Wednesday 2 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Marek are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Nesebar are 14th (lower half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Marek, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sportist Svoge, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Nesebar, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Yantra 2019, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Nesebar, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Marek.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marek 1.9 xG, Nesebar 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marek 66%, draw 22%, Nesebar 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Marek to win (66%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marek 1–0 Nesebar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marek66%fair 1.53 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Nesebar12%fair 8.26 · @4.60
2.61Expected goals
1.91Marek xG
0.70Nesebar xG
42%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Marek 1.9 – 0.7 Nesebar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marek to win✓
66%
1.53
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Marek or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Marek (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Marek -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Marek to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Marek ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marek / FT Marek✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.12
–
Recent results
Marek – last 6
DWLLLW
29 Aug
@ Sportist Svoge
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Dobrudzha
4–2
W
16 Aug
@ Montana
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Spartak Pleven
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Fratria
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nesebar – last 6
DWWWLL
29 Aug
vs Yantra 2019
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
7–0
W
16 Aug
@ Sportist Svoge
1–0
W
10 Aug
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
4 Aug
@ Montana
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1–5
L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marek and Nesebar.
Our pick is Marek to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Marek vs Nesebar?
On our numbers Marek have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nesebar 12%.
How many goals will there be in Marek vs Nesebar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marek vs Nesebar?
Our predicted score is Marek 1–0 Nesebar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Marek vs Nesebar?
Marek vs Nesebar (Second League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bonchuk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
