Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.72
Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Nesebar v Rilski Sportist in the Second League, played at Gradski stadion. In the table, Nesebar are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Rilski Sportist are 12th (lower half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nesebar, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Marek, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Rilski Sportist, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sportist Svoge, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nesebar 1.4 xG, Rilski Sportist 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nesebar 45%, draw 23%, Rilski Sportist 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nesebar 1–1 Rilski Sportist. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nesebar45%fair 2.20 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Rilski Sportist32%fair 3.16 · @2.88
2.50Expected goals
1.39Nesebar xG
1.10Rilski Sportist xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Nesebar 1.4 – 1.1 Rilski Sportist expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nesebar to win✓
45%
2.20
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Nesebar (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Rilski Sportist +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Nesebar to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nesebar / FT Nesebar✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.72
–
Recent results
Nesebar – last 6
LDWWWL
2 Sep
@ Marek
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Yantra 2019
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
7–0
W
16 Aug
@ Sportist Svoge
1–0
W
10 Aug
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
4 Aug
@ Montana
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rilski Sportist – last 6
WDWDDL
2 Sep
vs Sportist Svoge
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Dobrudzha
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Montana
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Spartak Pleven
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Fratria
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nesebar and Rilski Sportist.
What is the prediction for Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist?
On our numbers Nesebar have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rilski Sportist 32%.
How many goals will there be in Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist?
Our predicted score is Nesebar 1–1 Rilski Sportist, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist?
Nesebar vs Rilski Sportist (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
