Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 60%Draw 25%Nesebar 15%Expected goals 1.81 – 0.82
85%
Betarazi pick
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.65
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa welcome Nesebar to Lokomotiv stadium for a Second League fixture on Tuesday 15 September (16:30 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa are 7th, upper half, on 23 points after 15 matches; Nesebar are 14th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sportist Svoge, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nesebar, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rilski Sportist, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1.8 xG, Nesebar 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 60%, draw 25%, Nesebar 15%.
Lower-risk option: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1–0 Nesebar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa60%fair 1.68 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.00
Nesebar15%fair 6.68 · @3.80
2.63Expected goals
1.81Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa xG
0.82Nesebar xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1.8 – 0.8 Nesebar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa to win✗
60%
1.68
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa / FT Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.65
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa – last 6
DWLWWL
7 Sep
@ Sportist Svoge
0–0
D
3 Sep
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Montana
0–3
L
21 Aug
vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Spartak Pleven
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Fratria
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nesebar – last 6
WLDWWW
6 Sep
vs Rilski Sportist
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Marek
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Yantra 2019
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
7–0
W
16 Aug
@ Sportist Svoge
1–0
W
10 Aug
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Nesebar.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar?
Our pick is Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar?
On our numbers Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nesebar 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1–0 Nesebar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar?
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Nesebar (Second League) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Lokomotiv stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
