Value bet: Ludogorets II to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLudogorets II to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 21 September the Second League brings Spartak Pleven against Ludogorets II at Stadion Pleven. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Spartak Pleven are 10th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Ludogorets II are 9th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Spartak Pleven, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Ludogorets II, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fratria, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ludogorets II, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Spartak Pleven.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Ludogorets II 3–1 Spartak Pleven.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Pleven 1.3 xG, Ludogorets II 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Pleven 38%, draw 22%, Ludogorets II 41%.
Price worth noting: Ludogorets II to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Pleven 1–1 Ludogorets II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Pleven38%fair 2.65 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Ludogorets II41%fair 2.47 · @2.75
2.62Expected goals
1.28Spartak Pleven xG
1.34Ludogorets II xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Spartak Pleven 1.3 – 1.3 Ludogorets II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II?
On our numbers Spartak Pleven have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ludogorets II 41%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II?
Our predicted score is Spartak Pleven 1–1 Ludogorets II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II?
Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II (Second League) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pleven.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
