Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVihren to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceVihren or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Vihren vs Nesebar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nesebar travel to face Vihren on Sunday 27 September in the Second League, with Spartak Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Vihren are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Nesebar are 14th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Vihren, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sportist Svoge, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Nesebar, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Beroe, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vihren 2.5 xG, Nesebar 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vihren 67%, draw 21%, Nesebar 12%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vihren to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vihren 2–0 Nesebar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vihren67%fair 1.48 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.80
Nesebar12%fair 8.61 · @6.00
3.45Expected goals
2.45Vihren xG
1.00Nesebar xG
61%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
3–08%
1–08%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Vihren 2.5 – 1.0 Nesebar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vihren to win✓
67%
1.48
1.44
Double chance
Vihren or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Vihren (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Vihren -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
First team to score
Vihren to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Vihren ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vihren / FT Vihren✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Vihren – last 6
LWWWWD
21 Sep
@ Sportist Svoge
2–3
L
13 Sep
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
8 Sep
@ Montana
4–1
W
3 Sep
vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ Spartak Pleven
2–0
W
24 Aug
vs Fratria
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nesebar – last 6
WDWLDW
20 Sep
vs Beroe
4–3
W
15 Sep
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Rilski Sportist
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Marek
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Yantra 2019
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
7–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vihren and Nesebar.
Our pick is Vihren to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Vihren vs Nesebar?
On our numbers Vihren have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nesebar 12%.
How many goals will there be in Vihren vs Nesebar?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vihren vs Nesebar?
Our predicted score is Vihren 2–0 Nesebar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Vihren vs Nesebar?
Vihren vs Nesebar (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartak Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
