Marek 45%Draw 23%Beroe 32%Expected goals 1.28 – 1.02
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Beroe to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMarek to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.82
Marek vs Beroe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Marek v Beroe in the Second League, played at Stadion Bonchuk. In the table, Marek are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Beroe are 8th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Marek, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Chavdar Troyan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Beroe, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FK Minyor Pernik, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marek 1.3 xG, Beroe 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marek 45%, draw 23%, Beroe 32%.
Price worth noting: Beroe to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marek 1–1 Beroe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marek45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Beroe32%fair 3.11 · @3.40
2.30Expected goals
1.28Marek xG
1.02Beroe xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Marek 1.3 – 1.0 Beroe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marek to win✓
45%
2.23
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Marek (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Beroe +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Marek to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marek / FT Marek✓
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.82
–
Recent results
Marek – last 6
WDLWLW
4 Oct
@ Chavdar Troyan
4–0
W
26 Sep
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Rilski Sportist
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Yantra 2019
0–3
L
2 Sep
vs Nesebar
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Beroe – last 6
WWLWDD
4 Oct
@ FK Minyor Pernik
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Yantra 2019
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Nesebar
3–4
L
13 Sep
vs Sportist Svoge
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Dobrudzha
2–2
D
3 Sep
vs Montana
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marek and Beroe.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Marek vs Beroe?
On our numbers Marek have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Beroe 32%.
How many goals will there be in Marek vs Beroe?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marek vs Beroe?
Our predicted score is Marek 1–1 Beroe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Marek vs Beroe?
Marek vs Beroe (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bonchuk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
