Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultBeroe to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceBeroe or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.29
Beroe vs Rilski Sportist: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 23 October the Second League brings Beroe against Rilski Sportist at Stadion Beroe. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Beroe are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Rilski Sportist are 12th (lower half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Beroe, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Ludogorets, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Rilski Sportist, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Dunav Ruse, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rilski Sportist, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Beroe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beroe 1.7 xG, Rilski Sportist 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 40%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beroe 62%, draw 25%, Rilski Sportist 13%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Beroe to win (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beroe 1–0 Rilski Sportist. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beroe62%fair 1.61 · @1.57
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.60
Rilski Sportist13%fair 7.87 · @5.25
2.39Expected goals
1.73Beroe xG
0.66Rilski Sportist xG
40%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Beroe 1.7 – 0.7 Rilski Sportist expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beroe to win✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Double chance
Beroe or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
–
Draw no bet
Beroe (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Beroe -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Beroe to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Beroe ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beroe / FT Beroe✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.29
–
Recent results
Beroe – last 6
LLWWLW
17 Oct
vs Ludogorets
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Marek
2–3
L
4 Oct
@ FK Minyor Pernik
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Yantra 2019
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Nesebar
3–4
L
13 Sep
vs Sportist Svoge
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rilski Sportist – last 6
LDWWWW
17 Oct
vs Dunav Ruse
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Zagorets
4–0
W
26 Sep
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Marek
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Yantra 2019
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beroe and Rilski Sportist.
What is the prediction for Beroe vs Rilski Sportist?
Our pick is Beroe to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Beroe vs Rilski Sportist?
On our numbers Beroe have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rilski Sportist 13%.
How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Rilski Sportist?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beroe vs Rilski Sportist?
Our predicted score is Beroe 1–0 Rilski Sportist, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Beroe vs Rilski Sportist?
Beroe vs Rilski Sportist (Second League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Beroe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
