Value bet: Montana to win @ 1.72 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMontana to win ✗63% · @1.72
Double chanceMontana or draw ✗85% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Montana vs Spartak Pleven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spartak Pleven travel to face Montana on Monday 2 November in the Second League, with Ogosta Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Montana are 15th, lower half, on 15 points after 15 matches; Spartak Pleven are 10th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Montana, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fratria, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Spartak Pleven, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Etar Veliko Tarnovo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Spartak Pleven, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Montana.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Montana 3–1 Spartak Pleven.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montana 2.1 xG, Spartak Pleven 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montana 63%, draw 22%, Spartak Pleven 15%.
Lower-risk option: Montana or draw (85%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Montana to win @1.72 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montana 2–0 Spartak Pleven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montana63%fair 1.58 · @1.72
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.55
Spartak Pleven15%fair 6.75 · @3.85
2.97Expected goals
2.07Montana xG
0.91Spartak Pleven xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Montana 2.1 – 0.9 Spartak Pleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Montana vs Spartak Pleven?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Montana vs Spartak Pleven?
On our numbers Montana have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spartak Pleven 15%.
How many goals will there be in Montana vs Spartak Pleven?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montana vs Spartak Pleven?
Our predicted score is Montana 2–0 Spartak Pleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Montana vs Spartak Pleven?
Montana vs Spartak Pleven (Second League) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Ogosta Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
