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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fratria v Sportist Svoge: numbers & prediction

Second League · Bulgaria · Albena Stadium

Fratria

LLLWW
6–2
FT
Fratria 73%Draw 18%Sportist Svoge 9% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.49
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.34 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.34Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFratria to win ✓73% · @1.27
Double chanceFratria or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.36

Fratria vs Sportist Svoge: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 9 November the Second League brings Fratria against Sportist Svoge at Albena Stadium. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Fratria are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Sportist Svoge are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Fratria, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Montana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Sportist Svoge, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ludogorets II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Fratria, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Sportist Svoge.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Sportist Svoge 0–3 Fratria.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fratria 1.9 xG, Sportist Svoge 0.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fratria 73%, draw 18%, Sportist Svoge 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fratria 1–0 Sportist Svoge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fratria73%fair 1.37 · @1.27
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @4.40
Sportist Svoge9%fair 10.80 · @9.30
2.41Expected goals
1.93Fratria xG
0.49Sportist Svoge xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–017%
3–011%
0–09%
1–18%
2–18%

From our goals model: Fratria 1.9 – 0.5 Sportist Svoge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFratria to win ✓73%1.371.27
Double chanceFratria or draw ✓91%1.101.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%2.002.15 ▲
Draw no betFratria (draw no bet) ✓89%1.13–
Asian handicapFratria -1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.94
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.381.34
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.161.09
First team to scoreFratria to score first73%1.38–
Half-time resultFratria ahead at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fratria / FT Fratria ✗47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.36–

Recent results

Fratria – last 6

LLLWWW
28 Octvs Montana1–2L
18 Octvs Botev Vratsa1–2L
9 Oct@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo0–2L
3 Oct@ Balkan Botevgrad3–0W
27 Sepvs Spartak Pleven3–0W
20 Sep@ Pirin Blagoevgrad2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sportist Svoge – last 6

DDLDLW
2 Novvs Ludogorets II1–1D
23 Oct@ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1–1D
10 Octvs Hebar 19181–3L
4 Oct@ Neftochimic Burgas1–1D
27 Sep@ CSKA Sofia II0–1L
21 Sepvs Vihren3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Sportist Svoge v Fratria0–3
Fratria vs Sportist Svoge head-to-head page →

Second League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia II15942+1831
2Vihren15852+1529
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas15852+1429
4Fratria14743+1025
5Yantra 201915735+524
6Hebar 191815726+723
7Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa15654+123
8Beroe15645+322
9Ludogorets II14644+622
10Spartak Pleven15636-921
11Etar Veliko Tarnovo14635+121
12Rilski Sportist15555020
13Marek15537-418
14Nesebar15537-118
15Montana15438-1115
16Sportist Svoge15267-912
17Dobrudzha14248-1310
18Pirin Blagoevgrad150213-332

More Second League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fratria vs Sportist Svoge?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win Fratria vs Sportist Svoge?

On our numbers Fratria have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sportist Svoge 9%.

How many goals will there be in Fratria vs Sportist Svoge?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fratria vs Sportist Svoge?

Our predicted score is Fratria 1–0 Sportist Svoge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Fratria vs Sportist Svoge?

Fratria vs Sportist Svoge (Second League) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Albena Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.