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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marek v Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: numbers & prediction

Second League · Bulgaria · Stadion Bonchuk

Marek

LLDLW
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Marek 30%Draw 27%Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 43% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.33
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.21

8/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultChernomorets 1919 Burgas to win43% · @2.07
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.69

Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:30 WAT, Saturday 14 November: Marek v Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in the Second League, played at Stadion Bonchuk. In the table, Marek are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 3rd (among the top four) with 29.

Current form

Marek, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Hebar 1918, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Yantra 2019, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Marek.

Head to head

When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Marek 3–0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marek 1.1 xG, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marek 30%, draw 27%, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.82.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marek 1–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marek30%fair 3.28 · @3.12
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.14
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas43%fair 2.34 · @2.07
2.42Expected goals
1.09Marek xG
1.33Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%

From our goals model: Marek 1.1 – 1.3 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MarekChernomorets 1919 Burgas
Attack vs Second League average-15%+20%
Goals conceded vs average-10%-25%
Our expected goals here1.071.27

Our own ratings from every Second League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChernomorets 1919 Burgas to win43%2.342.07
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.961.82
Draw no betChernomorets 1919 Burgas (draw no bet)58%1.71–
Asian handicapMarek +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.441.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.791.66
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.311.21
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.131.03
First team to scoreChernomorets 1919 Burgas to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas / FT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.69–

Recent results

Marek – last 6

LLDLWW
8 Nov@ Hebar 19181–3L
31 Octvs CSKA Sofia II1–3L
23 Oct@ Vihren1–1D
17 Octvs Cherno More Varna0–3L
10 Octvs Beroe3–2W
4 Oct@ Chavdar Troyan4–0W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – last 6

DWDLWW
9 Novvs Yantra 20193–3D
31 Oct@ Nesebar2–1W
23 Octvs Sportist Svoge1–1D
18 Octvs Botev Plovdiv0–4L
10 Oct@ Dobrudzha3–0W
4 Oct@ Volov Shumen2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 May 2026Marek v Chernomorets 1919 Burgas3–0
Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas head-to-head page →

Second League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia II15942+1831
2Vihren15852+1529
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas15852+1429
4Fratria14743+1025
5Yantra 201915735+524
6Hebar 191815726+723
7Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa15654+123
8Beroe15645+322
9Ludogorets II14644+622
10Spartak Pleven15636-921
11Etar Veliko Tarnovo14635+121
12Rilski Sportist15555020
13Marek15537-418
14Nesebar15537-118
15Montana15438-1115
16Sportist Svoge15267-912
17Dobrudzha14248-1310
18Pirin Blagoevgrad150213-332

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?

On our numbers Marek have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 43%.

How many goals will there be in Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?

Our predicted score is Marek 1–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?

Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bonchuk.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.