Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Diosgyori VTK to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDiosgyori VTK to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceDiosgyori VTK or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Diosgyori VTK vs Ajka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Diosgyori VTK v Ajka in the NB II, played at DVTK Stadion. In the table, Diosgyori VTK are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Ajka are 7th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Diosgyori VTK, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Soroksar, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Ajka, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Karcag SE, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Diosgyori VTK, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Ajka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Diosgyori VTK 2.5 xG, Ajka 1.2 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Diosgyori VTK 61%, draw 26%, Ajka 12%.
Lower-risk option: Diosgyori VTK or draw (88%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Diosgyori VTK to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Diosgyori VTK or draw (88%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.14, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Diosgyori VTK 2–1 Ajka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Diosgyori VTK61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.20
Ajka12%fair 8.13 · @4.20
3.75Expected goals
2.53Diosgyori VTK xG
1.22Ajka xG
61%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Diosgyori VTK 2.5 – 1.2 Ajka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Diosgyori VTK to win✗
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Diosgyori VTK or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Diosgyori VTK (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Diosgyori VTK -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
Diosgyori VTK to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Diosgyori VTK ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Diosgyori VTK / FT Diosgyori VTK✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Diosgyori VTK – last 6
LWWLDW
9 Aug
@ Soroksar
0–4
L
25 Jul
@ Nagykanizsai ULE
3–2
W
18 Jul
@ FK Košice
7–2
W
18 Jul
vs Cigand SE
2–5
L
11 Jul
vs Ujpest
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Mezokovesd-zsory
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ajka – last 6
DWLLWL
8 Aug
vs Karcag SE
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Kecskeméti TE
3–1
W
18 Jul
vs Csakvar
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Gyirmot SE
0–2
L
1 Jul
vs Zalaegerszegi TE
3–2
W
17 May
@ Vasas
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Diosgyori VTK and Ajka.
Our pick is Diosgyori VTK or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Diosgyori VTK vs Ajka?
On our numbers Diosgyori VTK have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ajka 12%.
How many goals will there be in Diosgyori VTK vs Ajka?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Diosgyori VTK vs Ajka?
Our predicted score is Diosgyori VTK 2–1 Ajka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Diosgyori VTK vs Ajka?
Diosgyori VTK vs Ajka (NB II) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at DVTK Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
