Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Portugalete to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBasconia to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.07
Basconia vs Portugalete: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Basconia against Portugalete. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Basconia are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Portugalete are 6th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Basconia, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Racing Santander II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Portugalete, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Eibar II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Basconia 1.3 xG, Portugalete 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Basconia 39%, draw 23%, Portugalete 38%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Portugalete to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Basconia 1–1 Portugalete. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Basconia39%fair 2.54 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Portugalete38%fair 2.62 · @2.90
2.64Expected goals
1.33Basconia xG
1.31Portugalete xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Basconia 1.3 – 1.3 Portugalete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Basconia to win✗
39%
2.54
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.65
Draw no bet
Basconia (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Portugalete +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Basconia to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Basconia / FT Basconia✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.07
–
Recent results
Basconia – last 6
LDDWDW
17 Oct
@ Racing Santander II
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Eibar II
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Llanera
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Marino de Luanco
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Arosa
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Atlético Astorga
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Portugalete – last 6
DWLLWD
17 Oct
vs Eibar II
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Amorebieta
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs Deportivo Alavés II
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Bergantiños
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Coruxo
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Compostela
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Basconia and Portugalete.
What is the prediction for Basconia vs Portugalete?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Basconia vs Portugalete?
On our numbers Basconia have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portugalete 38%.
How many goals will there be in Basconia vs Portugalete?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Basconia vs Portugalete?
Our predicted score is Basconia 1–1 Portugalete, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Basconia vs Portugalete?
Basconia vs Portugalete (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
