Basconia vs Amorebieta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Basconia v Amorebieta in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1. In the table, Basconia are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Amorebieta are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Basconia, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Compostela, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Amorebieta, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gimnástica Torrelavega, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Amorebieta, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Basconia.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Basconia 2–1 Amorebieta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Basconia 1.2 xG, Amorebieta 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Basconia 34%, draw 21%, Amorebieta 45%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.59.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Basconia 1–1 Amorebieta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Basconia34%fair 2.96 · @2.66
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.32
Amorebieta45%fair 2.24 · @2.27
2.68Expected goals
1.22Basconia xG
1.46Amorebieta xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Basconia 1.2 – 1.5 Amorebieta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Basconia vs Amorebieta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Basconia vs Amorebieta?
On our numbers Basconia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Amorebieta 45%.
How many goals will there be in Basconia vs Amorebieta?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Basconia vs Amorebieta?
Our predicted score is Basconia 1–1 Amorebieta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Basconia vs Amorebieta?
Basconia vs Amorebieta (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
