Manresa 57%Draw 23%Peña Sport 20%Expected goals 1.91 – 1.04
80%
Betarazi pick
Manresa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Manresa to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultManresa to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceManresa or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.96
Manresa vs Peña Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Manresa welcome Peña Sport for a Segunda División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Saturday 12 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Manresa are 8th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Peña Sport are 11th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Manresa, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Arnedo, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Peña Sport, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Utebo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manresa 1.9 xG, Peña Sport 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 50% and GG at 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manresa 57%, draw 23%, Peña Sport 20%.
Lower-risk option: Manresa or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Manresa to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Manresa or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manresa 1–1 Peña Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manresa57%fair 1.74 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.30
Peña Sport20%fair 5.05 · @3.50
2.95Expected goals
1.91Manresa xG
1.04Peña Sport xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Manresa 1.9 – 1.0 Peña Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manresa to win✓
57%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Manresa or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Manresa (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Peña Sport +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Manresa to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Manresa ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manresa / FT Manresa✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.96
–
Recent results
Manresa – last 6
WDLWDL
6 Sep
@ Arnedo
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs Atlètic Lleida
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Sant Andreu
1–3
L
12 Aug
vs Vilanova
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Grama
0–0
D
3 May
@ Cornellà
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Peña Sport – last 6
DDDWDW
6 Sep
vs Utebo
1–1
D
18 Aug
@ Mutilvera
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ San Juan
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Ardoi
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Beti Kozkor
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Aoiz
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manresa and Peña Sport.
Our pick is Manresa or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Manresa vs Peña Sport?
On our numbers Manresa have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Peña Sport 20%.
How many goals will there be in Manresa vs Peña Sport?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manresa vs Peña Sport?
Our predicted score is Manresa 1–1 Peña Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Manresa vs Peña Sport?
Manresa vs Peña Sport (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
