Value bet: Barbastro to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBarbastro to win ✗49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.83
Náxara vs Barbastro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barbastro travel to face Náxara on Sunday 27 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Náxara are 16th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 9 matches; Barbastro are 12th (lower half) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Náxara, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Reddis, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Barbastro, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Barcelona B, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Barbastro, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Náxara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Náxara 1.1 xG, Barbastro 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Náxara 28%, draw 23%, Barbastro 49%.
Price worth noting: Barbastro to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Náxara 1–1 Barbastro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Náxara28%fair 3.64 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Barbastro49%fair 2.02 · @2.20
2.61Expected goals
1.07Náxara xG
1.54Barbastro xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Náxara 1.1 – 1.5 Barbastro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barbastro to win✗
49%
2.02
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Barbastro (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Náxara +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Barbastro to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barbastro / FT Barbastro✗
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.83
–
Recent results
Náxara – last 6
LLLWLW
20 Sep
@ Reddis
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Olot
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Barcelona B
0–5
L
14 Aug
@ Haro Deportivo
4–1
W
2 May
@ Eibar II
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Beasain
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Barbastro – last 6
LDWLWW
20 Sep
vs Barcelona B
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Terrassa
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Girona II
4–3
W
22 Aug
@ Huesca
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Atlètic Lleida
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Zaragoza
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Náxara and Barbastro.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Náxara vs Barbastro?
On our numbers Náxara have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Barbastro 49%.
How many goals will there be in Náxara vs Barbastro?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Náxara vs Barbastro?
Our predicted score is Náxara 1–1 Barbastro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Náxara vs Barbastro?
Náxara vs Barbastro (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
