Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Peña Sport welcome SD Logroñés for a Segunda División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Saturday 3 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Peña Sport are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; SD Logroñés are 15th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Peña Sport, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Barcelona B, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
SD Logroñés, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Olot, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Peña Sport 1.3 xG, SD Logroñés 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Peña Sport 37%, draw 23%, SD Logroñés 40%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.82, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peña Sport 1–1 SD Logroñés. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Peña Sport37%fair 2.69 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
SD Logroñés40%fair 2.50 · @2.30
2.75Expected goals
1.34Peña Sport xG
1.41SD Logroñés xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Peña Sport 1.3 – 1.4 SD Logroñés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SD Logroñés to win✗
40%
2.50
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
SD Logroñés (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Peña Sport +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
SD Logroñés to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SD Logroñés / FT SD Logroñés✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Peña Sport – last 6
LWLDDD
26 Sep
@ Barcelona B
0–4
L
19 Sep
vs Espanyol II
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Manresa
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Utebo
1–1
D
18 Aug
@ Mutilvera
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ San Juan
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SD Logroñés – last 6
LDDLWW
27 Sep
vs Olot
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Girona II
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Utebo
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Espanyol II
1–2
L
17 May
vs Castellón II
1–0
W
10 May
@ Castellón II
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peña Sport and SD Logroñés.
What is the prediction for Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés?
On our numbers Peña Sport have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SD Logroñés 40%.
How many goals will there be in Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés?
Our predicted score is Peña Sport 1–1 SD Logroñés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés?
Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
