Ebro 58%Draw 25%Girona II 17%Expected goals 2.15 – 1.12
83%
Betarazi pick
Ebro or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Ebro to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEbro to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceEbro or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Ebro vs Girona II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Ebro v Girona II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2. In the table, Ebro are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Girona II are 4th (among the top four) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ebro, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Calamocha, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Girona II, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Espanyol II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Ebro, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Girona II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ebro 2.1 xG, Girona II 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ebro 58%, draw 25%, Girona II 17%.
Lower-risk option: Ebro or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Ebro to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ebro or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ebro 2–1 Girona II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ebro58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.00
Girona II17%fair 6.02 · @4.00
3.27Expected goals
2.15Ebro xG
1.12Girona II xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Ebro 2.1 – 1.1 Girona II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ebro to win✗
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Ebro or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
Ebro (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Ebro -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Ebro to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Ebro ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ebro / FT Ebro✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Ebro – last 6
WWWLWD
10 Oct
vs Calamocha
2–0
W
4 Oct
@ Arnedo
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Terrassa
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Osasuna II
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Reddis
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Olot
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Girona II – last 6
LWDWLL
11 Oct
vs Espanyol II
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Osasuna II
3–2
W
20 Sep
@ SD Logroñés
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Tudelano
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Barbastro
3–4
L
3 May
@ Castellón II
2–4
L
2.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ebro and Girona II.
Our pick is Ebro or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ebro vs Girona II?
On our numbers Ebro have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Girona II 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ebro vs Girona II?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ebro vs Girona II?
Our predicted score is Ebro 2–1 Girona II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Ebro vs Girona II?
Ebro vs Girona II (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
