Value bet: Ebro to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultManresa to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.79
Manresa vs Ebro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 brings Manresa against Ebro. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Manresa are 8th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Ebro are 6th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Manresa, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Barbastro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ebro, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Girona II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ebro, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Manresa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manresa 1.2 xG, Ebro 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manresa 43%, draw 25%, Ebro 32%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Ebro to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manresa 1–1 Ebro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manresa43%fair 2.34 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.80
Ebro32%fair 3.08 · @3.30
2.14Expected goals
1.17Manresa xG
0.97Ebro xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Manresa 1.2 – 1.0 Ebro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manresa to win✓
43%
2.34
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.91
Draw no bet
Manresa (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Ebro +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Manresa to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manresa / FT Manresa✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.79
–
Recent results
Manresa – last 6
DDWLLW
18 Oct
@ Barbastro
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Osasuna II
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Reddis
4–1
W
26 Sep
vs UD Logroñés II
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Tudelano
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Peña Sport
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ebro – last 6
LWWWLW
17 Oct
vs Girona II
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Calamocha
2–0
W
4 Oct
@ Arnedo
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Terrassa
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Osasuna II
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Reddis
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manresa and Ebro.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Manresa vs Ebro?
On our numbers Manresa have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ebro 32%.
How many goals will there be in Manresa vs Ebro?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manresa vs Ebro?
Our predicted score is Manresa 1–1 Ebro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Manresa vs Ebro?
Manresa vs Ebro (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
