Barbastro 59%Draw 26%Peña Sport 15%Expected goals 1.54 – 0.65
85%
Betarazi pick
Barbastro or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Barbastro to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBarbastro to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceBarbastro or draw ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Barbastro vs Peña Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Barbastro v Peña Sport in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2. In the table, Barbastro are 12th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Peña Sport are 11th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Barbastro, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tudelano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Peña Sport, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Huesca, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barbastro 1.5 xG, Peña Sport 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barbastro 59%, draw 26%, Peña Sport 15%.
Lower-risk option: Barbastro or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Barbastro to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Barbastro or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barbastro 1–0 Peña Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barbastro59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.20
Peña Sport15%fair 6.53 · @3.50
2.19Expected goals
1.54Barbastro xG
0.65Peña Sport xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Barbastro 1.5 – 0.6 Peña Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barbastro to win✗
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Barbastro or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.91
Draw no bet
Barbastro (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Peña Sport +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Barbastro to score first
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barbastro / FT Barbastro✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.60
–
Recent results
Barbastro – last 6
DDLDDL
24 Oct
@ Tudelano
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Manresa
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ UD Logroñés II
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Utebo
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Náxara
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Barcelona B
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Peña Sport – last 6
LDDLWL
29 Oct
vs Huesca
1–5
L
24 Oct
vs Reddis
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Calamocha
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Náxara
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs SD Logroñés
4–0
W
26 Sep
@ Barcelona B
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barbastro and Peña Sport.
What is the prediction for Barbastro vs Peña Sport?
Our pick is Barbastro or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barbastro vs Peña Sport?
On our numbers Barbastro have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Peña Sport 15%.
How many goals will there be in Barbastro vs Peña Sport?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barbastro vs Peña Sport?
Our predicted score is Barbastro 1–0 Peña Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Barbastro vs Peña Sport?
Barbastro vs Peña Sport (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
