16:30 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Arnedo v Náxara in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2. In the table, Arnedo are 17th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Náxara are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arnedo, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Barcelona B, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Náxara, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Utebo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Náxara, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Arnedo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arnedo 1.4 xG, Náxara 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arnedo 41%, draw 22%, Náxara 37%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arnedo 1–1 Náxara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arnedo41%fair 2.43 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.24
Náxara37%fair 2.70 · @2.67
2.64Expected goals
1.36Arnedo xG
1.27Náxara xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arnedo 1.4 – 1.3 Náxara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arnedo to win✓
41%
2.43
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.70
Draw no bet
Arnedo (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Náxara +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Arnedo to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arnedo / FT Arnedo✓
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Arnedo – last 6
LDDDLL
31 Oct
@ Barcelona B
1–2
L
24 Oct
vs Calamocha
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Tudelano
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Utebo
0–0
D
4 Oct
vs Ebro
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Espanyol II
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Náxara – last 6
DLDWDL
31 Oct
vs Utebo
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Girona II
0–3
L
18 Oct
@ SD Logroñés
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Peña Sport
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Barbastro
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Reddis
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arnedo and Náxara.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Arnedo vs Náxara?
On our numbers Arnedo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Náxara 37%.
How many goals will there be in Arnedo vs Náxara?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arnedo vs Náxara?
Our predicted score is Arnedo 1–1 Náxara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arnedo vs Náxara?
Arnedo vs Náxara (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
