Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.88
Real Madrid III vs Guadalajara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 7 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Real Madrid III against Guadalajara. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Real Madrid III are 11th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Guadalajara are 9th (upper half) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Madrid III, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atlético Paso, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Guadalajara, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Gimnástica Segoviana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid III 1.0 xG, Guadalajara 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid III 34%, draw 24%, Guadalajara 42%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid III 0–1 Guadalajara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Madrid III34%fair 2.95 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Guadalajara42%fair 2.39 · @2.50
2.25Expected goals
1.05Real Madrid III xG
1.20Guadalajara xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Real Madrid III 1.0 – 1.2 Guadalajara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara to win✗
42%
2.39
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Draw no bet
Guadalajara (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Real Madrid III +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Guadalajara to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara / FT Guadalajara✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.88
–
Recent results
Real Madrid III – last 6
LLDDWL
3 Oct
@ Atlético Paso
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ A Madrid III
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ CF Talavera
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Albacete II
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
3 May
vs Conquense
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guadalajara – last 6
DLWLLW
3 Oct
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
3–3
D
27 Sep
@ Numancia
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs RSD Alcalá
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Salamanca UDS
2–3
L
18 Aug
@ Marchamalo
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Racing Ferrol
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid III and Guadalajara.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid III vs Guadalajara?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Real Madrid III vs Guadalajara?
On our numbers Real Madrid III have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guadalajara 42%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid III vs Guadalajara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid III vs Guadalajara?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid III 0–1 Guadalajara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid III vs Guadalajara?
Real Madrid III vs Guadalajara (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
