Real Ávila 65%Draw 21%Calvo Sotelo 14%Expected goals 1.80 – 0.66
65%
Betarazi pick
Real Ávila to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Ávila to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceReal Ávila or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.52
Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Ávila welcome Calvo Sotelo for a Segunda División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Sunday 20 September (16:30 WAT). In the table, Real Ávila are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Calvo Sotelo are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Ávila, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Navalcarnero, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Calvo Sotelo, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atlético Paso, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Calvo Sotelo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Real Ávila.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Ávila 1.8 xG, Calvo Sotelo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 41%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Ávila 65%, draw 21%, Calvo Sotelo 14%.
Lower-risk option: Real Ávila or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Ávila to win (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Ávila 1–0 Calvo Sotelo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Ávila65%fair 1.53 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.80
Calvo Sotelo14%fair 7.16 · @4.00
2.46Expected goals
1.80Real Ávila xG
0.66Calvo Sotelo xG
41%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Real Ávila 1.8 – 0.7 Calvo Sotelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Ávila to win✓
65%
1.53
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Real Ávila or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Draw no bet
Real Ávila (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Real Ávila -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Real Ávila to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Real Ávila ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Ávila / FT Real Ávila✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.52
–
Recent results
Real Ávila – last 6
LLWWLL
13 Sep
@ Navalcarnero
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ A Madrid III
1–2
L
12 Aug
@ Atlético Tordesillas
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
2–0
W
3 May
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
0–4
L
26 Apr
@ Racing Santander II
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Calvo Sotelo – last 6
DLWWDW
13 Sep
vs Atlético Paso
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
0–3
L
2 Apr
@ Marchamalo
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Tarancón
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Pedroñeras
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Sonseca
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Ávila and Calvo Sotelo.
What is the prediction for Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo?
Our pick is Real Ávila to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo?
On our numbers Real Ávila have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Calvo Sotelo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo?
Our predicted score is Real Ávila 1–0 Calvo Sotelo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo?
Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
