Value bet: Numancia to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSS Reyes to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92
SS Reyes vs Numancia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings SS Reyes against Numancia. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, SS Reyes are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Numancia are 1st (leading the league) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
SS Reyes, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Valladolid II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Numancia, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over A Madrid III, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SS Reyes 1.3 xG, Numancia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SS Reyes 46%, draw 24%, Numancia 30%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Numancia to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 2.00, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: SS Reyes 1–1 Numancia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SS Reyes46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90
Numancia30%fair 3.34 · @3.60
2.25Expected goals
1.28SS Reyes xG
0.97Numancia xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: SS Reyes 1.3 – 1.0 Numancia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SS Reyes to win✗
46%
2.19
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
SS Reyes (draw no bet)
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Numancia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
SS Reyes to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SS Reyes / FT SS Reyes✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
SS Reyes – last 6
WWLWLD
12 Sep
vs Real Valladolid II
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Atlético Tordesillas
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs Atlético Baleares
0–3
L
30 May
vs UD Logroñés
1–0
W
24 May
@ UD Logroñés
0–1
L
17 May
vs Alcoyano
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Numancia – last 6
WWWLLW
13 Sep
vs A Madrid III
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Atlético Paso
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Zaragoza
2–1
W
17 May
@ Poblense
1–2
L
10 May
vs Poblense
0–1
L
3 May
vs Marino de Luanco
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SS Reyes and Numancia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win SS Reyes vs Numancia?
On our numbers SS Reyes have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Numancia 30%.
How many goals will there be in SS Reyes vs Numancia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SS Reyes vs Numancia?
Our predicted score is SS Reyes 1–1 Numancia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is SS Reyes vs Numancia?
SS Reyes vs Numancia (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
