Real Madrid III 40%Draw 21%Real Valladolid II 38%Expected goals 1.37 – 1.33
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Real Valladolid II to win @ 3.06 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Madrid III to win ✓40% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Real Madrid III v Real Valladolid II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5. In the table, Real Madrid III are 11th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Real Valladolid II are 6th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Real Madrid III, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Ávila, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Valladolid II, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Getafe II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Real Valladolid II, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Real Madrid III.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid III 1.4 xG, Real Valladolid II 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid III 40%, draw 21%, Real Valladolid II 38%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Real Valladolid II to win @3.06 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid III 1–1 Real Valladolid II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Madrid III40%fair 2.48 · @2.02
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.38
Real Valladolid II38%fair 2.60 · @3.06
2.70Expected goals
1.37Real Madrid III xG
1.33Real Valladolid II xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Real Madrid III 1.4 – 1.3 Real Valladolid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid III to win✓
40%
2.48
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.50
Draw no bet
Real Madrid III (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Real Valladolid II +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
First team to score
Real Madrid III to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid III / FT Real Madrid III✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
Real Madrid III – last 6
WLDDDL
1 Nov
@ Real Ávila
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Conquense
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ RSD Alcalá
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Atlético Tordesillas
0–0
D
7 Oct
vs Guadalajara
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Atlético Paso
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Real Valladolid II – last 6
WDWDWL
1 Nov
vs Getafe II
4–3
W
25 Oct
@ Guadalajara
4–4
D
18 Oct
vs Real Ávila
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Calvo Sotelo
3–0
W
27 Sep
@ CF Talavera
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid III and Real Valladolid II.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II?
On our numbers Real Madrid III have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Valladolid II 38%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid III 1–1 Real Valladolid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II?
Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
