Real Madrid W 61%Draw 20%Atletico Madrid W 19%Expected goals 1.97 – 0.98
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Madrid W to win ✓61% · @1.55
Double chanceReal Madrid W or draw ✓81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Madrid W travel to face Real Madrid W on Sunday 30 August in the Primera División Femenina – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Real Madrid W are 2nd, among the top four, on 23 points after 10 matches; Atletico Madrid W are 3rd (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Real Madrid W, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ajax W, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Atletico Madrid W, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Real Sociedad W, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Atletico Madrid W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Real Madrid W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid W 2.0 xG, Atletico Madrid W 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid W 61%, draw 20%, Atletico Madrid W 19%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid W 1–1 Atletico Madrid W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Madrid W61%fair 1.64 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.95
Atletico Madrid W19%fair 5.21 · @5.00
2.95Expected goals
1.97Real Madrid W xG
0.98Atletico Madrid W xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Real Madrid W 2.0 – 1.0 Atletico Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid W to win✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Double chance
Real Madrid W or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Real Madrid W (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Real Madrid W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Real Madrid W to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Real Madrid W ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid W / FT Real Madrid W✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Real Madrid W – last 6
WWWWLL
26 Aug
@ Ajax W
2–0
W
31 May
vs Granada
2–0
W
26 May
@ FC Levante Badalona
4–0
W
5 Apr
@ Madrid CFF W
2–0
W
2 Apr
@ Barcelona W
0–6
L
29 Mar
vs Barcelona W
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Madrid W – last 6
LWWWWW
31 May
@ Real Sociedad W
0–2
L
3 May
vs Eibar W
4–0
W
25 Apr
@ FC Levante Badalona
4–2
W
5 Apr
vs Deportivo de La Coruña W
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Athletic Club W
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Alhama
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid W and Atletico Madrid W.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
On our numbers Real Madrid W have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atletico Madrid W 19%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid W 1–1 Atletico Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
