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Athletic Club W v Atletico Madrid W: numbers & prediction

Primera División Femenina · Spain · Lezama Facilities
Athletic Club W 35%Draw 23%Atletico Madrid W 43% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.53
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Madrid W to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.29

Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Athletic Club W welcome Atletico Madrid W to Lezama Facilities for a Primera División Femenina fixture on Sunday 27 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, Athletic Club W are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Atletico Madrid W are 3rd (among the top four) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Athletic Club W, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Eibar W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Atletico Madrid W, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Edf Logrono W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Athletic Club W, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Atletico Madrid W.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Athletic Club W 1–2 Atletico Madrid W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club W 1.4 xG, Atletico Madrid W 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club W 35%, draw 23%, Atletico Madrid W 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club W 1–1 Atletico Madrid W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Athletic Club W35%fair 2.88 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Atletico Madrid W43%fair 2.35 · @2.10
2.88Expected goals
1.35Athletic Club W xG
1.53Atletico Madrid W xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%

From our goals model: Athletic Club W 1.4 – 1.5 Atletico Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Madrid W to win ✗43%2.352.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.62
Draw no betAtletico Madrid W (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapAthletic Club W +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.20–
First team to scoreAtletico Madrid W to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Madrid W / FT Atletico Madrid W ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.29–

Recent results

Athletic Club W – last 6

LDWWWW
20 Sep@ Eibar W0–1L
12 Sepvs Espanyol W2–2D
6 Sep@ Edf Logrono W1–0W
30 Augvs FC Levante Badalona W3–1W
31 Mayvs Alhama W4–1W
2 May@ FC Levante Badalona1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Atletico Madrid W – last 6

WLWLLW
19 Sepvs Edf Logrono W1–0W
12 Sep@ Barcelona W2–4L
6 Sepvs Deportivo Alavés W1–0W
30 Aug@ Real Madrid W2–3L
31 May@ Real Sociedad W0–2L
3 Mayvs Eibar W4–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Athletic Club W v Atletico Madrid W1–2
Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W head-to-head page →

Primera División Femenina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W10901+3627
2Real Madrid W10721+523
3Atletico Madrid W10613+1019
4Madrid CFF W10523-517
5Athletic Club W10442+216
6Espanyol W10433+315
7Granad. Tenerife W9423014
8Real Sociedad W10343-213
9Eibar W10334-312
10Deportivo de La Coruña W10325-211
11Granada10325-711
12Edf Logrono W10316-310
13Sevilla W10244-510
14Deportivo Alavés W9225-78
15FC Levante Badalona W10226-118
16Valencia W10208-116

More Primera División Femenina predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?

On our numbers Athletic Club W have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Madrid W 43%.

How many goals will there be in Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?

Our predicted score is Athletic Club W 1–1 Atletico Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?

Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Lezama Facilities.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.