Madrid CFF W 59%Draw 16%Deportivo Alavés W 25%Expected goals 1.89 – 1.11
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMadrid CFF W to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Madrid CFF W vs Deportivo Alavés W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Madrid CFF W v Deportivo Alavés W in the Primera División Femenina, played at Estadio Fernando Torres. In the table, Madrid CFF W are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 10 matches; Deportivo Alavés W are 14th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Madrid CFF W, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Espanyol W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Deportivo Alavés W, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Barcelona W, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Madrid CFF W, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Deportivo Alavés W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Madrid CFF W 1.9 xG, Deportivo Alavés W 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Madrid CFF W 59%, draw 16%, Deportivo Alavés W 25%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Madrid CFF W 1–1 Deportivo Alavés W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Madrid CFF W59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
Draw16%fair 6.11 · @3.70
Deportivo Alavés W25%fair 4.01 · @3.60
3.00Expected goals
1.89Madrid CFF W xG
1.11Deportivo Alavés W xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Madrid CFF W 1.9 – 1.1 Deportivo Alavés W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Madrid CFF W to win✓
59%
1.70
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Draw no bet
Madrid CFF W (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Alavés W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.17
First team to score
Madrid CFF W to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Madrid CFF W ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Madrid CFF W / FT Madrid CFF W✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Madrid CFF W – last 6
LWWWLW
19 Sep
@ Espanyol W
1–5
L
12 Sep
vs Sevilla W
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Valencia W
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Granada
3–1
W
31 May
vs Barcelona W
0–4
L
26 May
@ Granada
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Deportivo Alavés W – last 4
LWLW
18 Sep
vs Barcelona W
0–6
L
13 Sep
vs Granada
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Atletico Madrid W
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Valencia W
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Madrid CFF W and Deportivo Alavés W.
What is the prediction for Madrid CFF W vs Deportivo Alavés W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Madrid CFF W vs Deportivo Alavés W?
On our numbers Madrid CFF W have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Deportivo Alavés W 25%.
How many goals will there be in Madrid CFF W vs Deportivo Alavés W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Madrid CFF W vs Deportivo Alavés W?
Our predicted score is Madrid CFF W 1–1 Deportivo Alavés W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Madrid CFF W vs Deportivo Alavés W?
Madrid CFF W vs Deportivo Alavés W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fernando Torres.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
