Double chanceAtletico Madrid W or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Atletico Madrid W vs Valencia W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valencia W travel to face Atletico Madrid W on Friday 23 October in the Primera División Femenina, with Centro Deportivo Alcala de Henares the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Atletico Madrid W are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Valencia W are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Madrid W, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Madrid CFF W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Valencia W, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Athletic Club W, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atletico Madrid W, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Valencia W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Madrid W 2.3 xG, Valencia W 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Madrid W 72%, draw 19%, Valencia W 9%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Madrid W to win (72%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Madrid W 2–0 Valencia W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Madrid W72%fair 1.39 · @1.29
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @4.80
Valencia W9%fair 11.21 · @8.00
3.07Expected goals
2.34Atletico Madrid W xG
0.73Valencia W xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Madrid W 2.3 – 0.7 Valencia W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Madrid W to win✓
72%
1.39
1.29
Double chance
Atletico Madrid W or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.80
Draw no bet
Atletico Madrid W (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Madrid W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
First team to score
Atletico Madrid W to score first✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Atletico Madrid W ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Madrid W / FT Atletico Madrid W✓
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
Atletico Madrid W – last 6
WWLWLW
18 Oct
vs Madrid CFF W
4–0
W
3 Oct
@ Deportivo de La Coruña W
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Athletic Club W
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Edf Logrono W
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Barcelona W
2–4
L
6 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés W
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Valencia W – last 6
LLLLLL
17 Oct
@ Athletic Club W
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Real Sociedad W
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Granad. Tenerife W
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Real Madrid W
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Edf Logrono W
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Madrid CFF W
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Madrid W and Valencia W.
What is the prediction for Atletico Madrid W vs Valencia W?
Our pick is Atletico Madrid W to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Atletico Madrid W vs Valencia W?
On our numbers Atletico Madrid W have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Valencia W 9%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Madrid W vs Valencia W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Madrid W vs Valencia W?
Our predicted score is Atletico Madrid W 2–0 Valencia W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Atletico Madrid W vs Valencia W?
Atletico Madrid W vs Valencia W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Centro Deportivo Alcala de Henares.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
