Lugano II vs Bavois: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bavois travel to face Lugano II on Saturday 29 August in the 1. Liga Promotion – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Lugano II are 16th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 15 matches; Bavois are 17th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lugano II, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Biel-Bienne, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Bavois, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Brühl, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lugano II 1.4 xG, Bavois 2.3 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lugano II 23%, draw 19%, Bavois 58%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lugano II 1–2 Bavois. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lugano II23%fair 4.30 · @3.60
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @3.70
Bavois58%fair 1.72 · @1.75
3.75Expected goals
1.42Lugano II xG
2.33Bavois xG
69%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
2–26%
0–26%
2–16%
From our goals model: Lugano II 1.4 – 2.3 Bavois expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bavois to win✗
58%
1.72
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Draw no bet
Bavois (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Lugano II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
Bavois to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Bavois ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bavois / FT Bavois✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Lugano II – last 6
LWLLDD
23 Aug
@ Biel-Bienne
2–5
L
15 Aug
vs Luzern II
4–3
W
9 Aug
@ Young Boys II
1–3
L
2 Aug
vs Bulle
1–4
L
30 May
@ Kreuzlingen
1–1
D
23 May
vs Lausanne Sport II
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bavois – last 6
DLLDWW
22 Aug
vs Brühl
0–0
D
19 Aug
@ YF Juventus
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Servette FC
0–7
L
8 Aug
vs Zürich II
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Bellinzona
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ La Sarraz-Eclépens
8–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lugano II and Bavois.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Lugano II vs Bavois?
On our numbers Lugano II have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bavois 58%.
How many goals will there be in Lugano II vs Bavois?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lugano II vs Bavois?
Our predicted score is Lugano II 1–2 Bavois, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Lugano II vs Bavois?
Lugano II vs Bavois (1. Liga Promotion) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
