Bavois 60%Draw 18%Luzern II 22%Expected goals 1.90 – 1.03
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultBavois to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Bavois vs Luzern II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bavois welcome Luzern II for a 1. Liga Promotion fixture on Sunday 20 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Bavois are 17th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Luzern II are 15th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bavois, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Young Boys II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Luzern II, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Biel-Bienne, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bavois, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Luzern II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bavois 1.9 xG, Luzern II 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bavois 60%, draw 18%, Luzern II 22%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bavois 1–1 Luzern II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bavois60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
Draw18%fair 5.64 · @3.80
Luzern II22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
2.93Expected goals
1.90Bavois xG
1.03Luzern II xG
65%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Bavois 1.9 – 1.0 Luzern II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bavois to win✗
60%
1.67
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.25
Draw no bet
Bavois (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Luzern II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Bavois to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Bavois ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bavois / FT Bavois✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Bavois – last 6
LWLDLL
12 Sep
@ Young Boys II
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Bulle
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Lugano II
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Brühl
0–0
D
19 Aug
@ YF Juventus
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Servette FC
0–7
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Luzern II – last 6
LLDLLL
12 Sep
vs Biel-Bienne
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Breitenrain
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Young Boys II
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Bulle
2–3
L
15 Aug
@ Lugano II
3–4
L
8 Aug
vs Brühl
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bavois and Luzern II.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bavois vs Luzern II?
On our numbers Bavois have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Luzern II 22%.
How many goals will there be in Bavois vs Luzern II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bavois vs Luzern II?
Our predicted score is Bavois 1–1 Luzern II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bavois vs Luzern II?
Bavois vs Luzern II (1. Liga Promotion) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
