Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Breitenrain to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBellinzona to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Bellinzona vs Breitenrain: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bellinzona welcome Breitenrain for a 1. Liga Promotion fixture on Sunday 27 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Bellinzona are 18th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 15 matches; Breitenrain are 10th (lower half) with 21. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bellinzona, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Grand-Saconnex, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Breitenrain, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Biel-Bienne, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Breitenrain, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Bellinzona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bellinzona 1.4 xG, Breitenrain 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bellinzona 40%, draw 21%, Breitenrain 39%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Breitenrain to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bellinzona 1–1 Breitenrain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bellinzona40%fair 2.49 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Breitenrain39%fair 2.59 · @2.80
2.75Expected goals
1.39Bellinzona xG
1.36Breitenrain xG
64%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Bellinzona 1.4 – 1.4 Breitenrain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bellinzona to win✗
40%
2.49
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Draw no bet
Bellinzona (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Breitenrain +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Bellinzona to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bellinzona / FT Bellinzona✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Bellinzona – last 6
LWLDLL
19 Sep
@ Grand-Saconnex
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Kreuzlingen
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Paradiso
0–4
L
29 Aug
@ Cham
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ FC Schaffhausen
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Basel II
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Breitenrain – last 6
LLWLWW
19 Sep
vs Biel-Bienne
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Grand-Saconnex
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Luzern II
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Kreuzlingen
0–1
L
19 Aug
vs Young Boys II
4–2
W
15 Aug
@ Paradiso
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bellinzona and Breitenrain.
What is the prediction for Bellinzona vs Breitenrain?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bellinzona vs Breitenrain?
On our numbers Bellinzona have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Breitenrain 39%.
How many goals will there be in Bellinzona vs Breitenrain?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bellinzona vs Breitenrain?
Our predicted score is Bellinzona 1–1 Breitenrain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bellinzona vs Breitenrain?
Bellinzona vs Breitenrain (1. Liga Promotion) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
