Lugano II 22%Draw 14%Cham 63%Expected goals 1.19 – 2.20
63%
Betarazi pick
Cham to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultCham to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Lugano II vs Cham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Lugano II v Cham in the 1. Liga Promotion. In the table, Lugano II are 16th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 15 matches; Cham are 4th (among the top four) with 30. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lugano II, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Schaffhausen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Cham, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Brühl, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cham, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Lugano II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lugano II 1.2 xG, Cham 2.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lugano II 22%, draw 14%, Cham 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cham to win (63%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lugano II 1–2 Cham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lugano II22%fair 4.48 · @3.40
Draw14%fair 6.90 · @3.80
Cham63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
3.39Expected goals
1.19Lugano II xG
2.20Cham xG
55%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Lugano II 1.2 – 2.2 Cham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cham to win✓
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Cham (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Cham -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
First team to score
Cham to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Cham ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cham / FT Cham✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Lugano II – last 6
LWLWLW
19 Sep
@ FC Schaffhausen
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Basel II
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Amical Saint-Prex
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Bavois
3–2
W
23 Aug
@ Biel-Bienne
2–5
L
15 Aug
vs Luzern II
4–3
W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cham – last 6
WLWDWW
19 Sep
vs Brühl
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ YF Juventus
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Zürich II
4–0
W
29 Aug
vs Bellinzona
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Grand-Saconnex
2–1
W
19 Aug
@ Kreuzlingen
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lugano II and Cham.
Our pick is Cham to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Lugano II vs Cham?
On our numbers Lugano II have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Cham 63%.
How many goals will there be in Lugano II vs Cham?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lugano II vs Cham?
Our predicted score is Lugano II 1–2 Cham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Lugano II vs Cham?
Lugano II vs Cham (1. Liga Promotion) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
