Lugano II 41%Draw 22%Bellinzona 37%Expected goals 1.67 – 1.58
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultLugano II to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Lugano II vs Bellinzona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bellinzona travel to face Lugano II on Sunday 25 October in the 1. Liga Promotion – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Lugano II are 16th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 15 matches; Bellinzona are 18th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Lugano II, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Grand-Saconnex, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Bellinzona, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Brühl, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lugano II 1.7 xG, Bellinzona 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lugano II 41%, draw 22%, Bellinzona 37%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lugano II 1–1 Bellinzona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lugano II41%fair 2.44 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Bellinzona37%fair 2.67 · @2.45
3.25Expected goals
1.67Lugano II xG
1.58Bellinzona xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Lugano II 1.7 – 1.6 Bellinzona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lugano II to win✗
41%
2.44
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Draw no bet
Lugano II (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Bellinzona +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Lugano II to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lugano II / FT Lugano II✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.73
–
Recent results
Lugano II – last 6
WLLLLW
17 Oct
@ Grand-Saconnex
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Kreuzlingen
2–3
L
3 Oct
@ Paradiso
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Cham
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ FC Schaffhausen
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Basel II
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bellinzona – last 6
WLLDLW
21 Oct
vs Brühl
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ YF Juventus
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Zürich II
0–4
L
27 Sep
vs Breitenrain
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Grand-Saconnex
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Kreuzlingen
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lugano II and Bellinzona.
What is the prediction for Lugano II vs Bellinzona?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lugano II vs Bellinzona?
On our numbers Lugano II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bellinzona 37%.
How many goals will there be in Lugano II vs Bellinzona?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lugano II vs Bellinzona?
Our predicted score is Lugano II 1–1 Bellinzona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lugano II vs Bellinzona?
Lugano II vs Bellinzona (1. Liga Promotion) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
