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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

St. Pölten W v Sturm Graz W: numbers & prediction

Frauenliga · Austria · NV Arena
2–2
FT
St. Pölten W 67%Draw 21%Sturm Graz W 13% Expected goals 2.41 – 1.02
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultSt. Pölten W to win ✗67% · @1.22
Double chanceSt. Pölten W or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42

St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sturm Graz W travel to face St. Pölten W on Sunday 4 October in the Frauenliga, with NV Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, St. Pölten W are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 12 matches; Sturm Graz W are 2nd (among the top four) with 29. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

St. Pölten W, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Malmö FF W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Sturm Graz W, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to VfL Wolfsburg W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Sturm Graz W 2–3 St. Pölten W. The last 2 head-to-heads: St. Pölten W 2 wins, Sturm Graz W 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St. Pölten W 2.4 xG, Sturm Graz W 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – St. Pölten W 67%, draw 21%, Sturm Graz W 13%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Pölten W 2–1 Sturm Graz W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St. Pölten W67%fair 1.50 · @1.22
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @5.50
Sturm Graz W13%fair 7.85 · @9.00
3.43Expected goals
2.41St. Pölten W xG
1.02Sturm Graz W xG
52%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: St. Pölten W 2.4 – 1.0 Sturm Graz W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt. Pölten W to win ✗67%1.501.22
Double chanceSt. Pölten W or draw ✓87%1.151.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Draw no betSt. Pölten W (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapSt. Pölten W -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.531.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
First team to scoreSt. Pölten W to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultSt. Pölten W ahead at half-time ✗51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT St. Pölten W / FT St. Pölten W ✗45%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.42–

Recent results

St. Pölten W – last 6

LWLWWD
30 Sep@ Malmö FF W0–3L
26 Sepvs Kleinmünchen BW Linz W4–0W
23 Sepvs Malmö FF W0–2L
19 Sepvs Südburgenland W9–1W
12 Sep@ First Vienna W4–1W
2 Sep@ Juventus W1–1D
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sturm Graz W – last 6

LLLWWW
30 Sepvs VfL Wolfsburg W0–2L
27 Sepvs Austria Wien W0–2L
23 Sep@ VfL Wolfsburg W1–6L
18 Sepvs SK Rapid W2–0W
13 Sep@ Kleinmünchen BW Linz W4–0W
2 Sep@ Gintra-Universitetas W5–3W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 May 2026Sturm Graz W v St. Pölten W2–3
1 May 2026St. Pölten W v Sturm Graz W2–0
St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W head-to-head page →

Frauenliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Pölten W121011+3131
2Sturm Graz W12921+2229
3Austria Wien W11821+2926
4Salzburg W12615019
5Rheindorf Altach W11524017
6First Vienna W12264-712
7LASK W12327-1111
8SK Rapid W12246-1510
9Südburgenland W12138-226
10Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W121110-274

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W?

On our numbers St. Pölten W have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sturm Graz W 13%.

How many goals will there be in St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W?

Our predicted score is St. Pölten W 2–1 Sturm Graz W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W?

St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W (Frauenliga) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at NV Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.