Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Rouen to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRouen to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.86
Rouen vs Valenciennes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valenciennes travel to face Rouen on Thursday 3 September in the National 1, with Stade Robert Diochon the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Rouen are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Valenciennes are 15th (lower half) with 10. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rouen, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Villefranche, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Valenciennes, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Concarneau, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rouen, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Valenciennes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rouen 1.6 xG, Valenciennes 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rouen 56%, draw 26%, Valenciennes 18%.
Lower-risk option: Rouen or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Rouen to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rouen or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rouen 1–0 Valenciennes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rouen56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.30
Valenciennes18%fair 5.41 · @3.60
2.37Expected goals
1.58Rouen xG
0.79Valenciennes xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Rouen 1.6 – 0.8 Valenciennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✗
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Rouen or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Draw no bet
Rouen (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Valenciennes +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Rouen to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
Rouen – last 6
WWWDWW
29 Aug
@ Villefranche
2–0
W
20 Aug
vs Quevilly
3–0
W
14 Aug
@ Orleans
2–1
W
7 Aug
vs Cannes
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Boulogne
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Valenciennes – last 6
DLWLDW
29 Aug
vs Concarneau
0–0
D
20 Aug
@ Gobelins
1–2
L
14 Aug
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Caen
0–4
L
31 Jul
vs Boulogne
1–1
D
22 Jul
@ Eastleigh
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rouen and Valenciennes.
Our pick is Rouen or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rouen vs Valenciennes?
On our numbers Rouen have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Valenciennes 18%.
How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Valenciennes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Valenciennes?
Our predicted score is Rouen 1–0 Valenciennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rouen vs Valenciennes?
Rouen vs Valenciennes (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
