Value bet: Cannes to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCannes to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.72
Bastia vs Cannes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 17 September the National 1 brings Bastia against Cannes at Stade Armand Cesari. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Bastia are 13th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Cannes are 7th (upper half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bastia, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bourg-en-bresse 01, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cannes, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Amiens, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bastia 0.8 xG, Cannes 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bastia 32%, draw 23%, Cannes 44%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Cannes to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bastia 1–1 Cannes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bastia32%fair 3.10 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Cannes44%fair 2.26 · @2.50
1.83Expected goals
0.80Bastia xG
1.03Cannes xG
54%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bastia 0.8 – 1.0 Cannes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cannes to win✗
44%
2.26
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.75
Draw no bet
Cannes (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Bastia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Cannes to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.72
–
Recent results
Bastia – last 6
WLWLWL
12 Sep
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Amiens
0–3
L
27 Aug
@ Caen
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs Versailles
2–3
L
14 Aug
@ Aubagne
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Le Puy Foot
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cannes – last 6
DWWDDD
10 Sep
vs Amiens
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Versailles
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Le Puy Foot
2–0
W
20 Aug
@ La Roche VF
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Fleury 91
1–1
D
7 Aug
@ Rouen
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bastia and Cannes.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Bastia vs Cannes?
On our numbers Bastia have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cannes 44%.
How many goals will there be in Bastia vs Cannes?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bastia vs Cannes?
Our predicted score is Bastia 1–1 Cannes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Bastia vs Cannes?
Bastia vs Cannes (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Armand Cesari.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
