Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultRouen to win ✗40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.23
Caen vs Rouen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Caen welcome Rouen for a National 1 fixture on Thursday 24 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Caen are 3rd, among the top four, on 22 points after 12 matches; Rouen are 2nd (among the top four) with 26.
Current form
Caen, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Concarneau, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Rouen, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aubagne, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rouen, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Caen.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Rouen 1–1 Caen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caen 1.2 xG, Rouen 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caen 36%, draw 24%, Rouen 40%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caen 1–1 Rouen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caen36%fair 2.80 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Rouen40%fair 2.50 · @2.60
2.43Expected goals
1.17Caen xG
1.26Rouen xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Caen 1.2 – 1.3 Rouen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Caen vs Rouen?
On our numbers Caen have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rouen 40%.
How many goals will there be in Caen vs Rouen?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caen vs Rouen?
Our predicted score is Caen 1–1 Rouen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Caen vs Rouen?
Caen vs Rouen (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
