Bastia vs Orleans: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Thursday 1 October: Bastia v Orleans in the National 1, played at Stade Armand Cesari. In the table, Bastia are 13th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Orleans are 14th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Bastia, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gobelins, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Orleans, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cannes, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bastia 1.1 xG, Orleans 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bastia 41%, draw 24%, Orleans 35%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bastia 1–1 Orleans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bastia41%fair 2.43 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
Orleans35%fair 2.88 · @3.00
2.00Expected goals
1.06Bastia xG
0.94Orleans xG
54%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bastia 1.1 – 0.9 Orleans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bastia to win✗
41%
2.43
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
Bastia (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Orleans +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Bastia to score first
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.97
–
Recent results
Bastia – last 6
LDWLWL
26 Sep
@ Gobelins
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs Cannes
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Amiens
0–3
L
27 Aug
@ Caen
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs Versailles
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Orleans – last 6
DLLDLW
26 Sep
vs Cannes
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Amiens
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Versailles
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Le Puy Foot
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs La Roche VF
0–1
L
20 Aug
@ Fleury 91
2–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bastia and Orleans.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Bastia vs Orleans?
On our numbers Bastia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orleans 35%.
How many goals will there be in Bastia vs Orleans?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bastia vs Orleans?
Our predicted score is Bastia 1–1 Orleans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bastia vs Orleans?
Bastia vs Orleans (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Armand Cesari.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
