Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: La Roche VF to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCaen to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.38
Caen vs La Roche VF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
La Roche VF travel to face Caen on Thursday 15 October in the National 1 – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Caen are 3rd, among the top four, on 22 points after 12 matches; La Roche VF are 1st (leading the league) with 27.
Current form
Caen, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Fleury 91, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
La Roche VF, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Aubagne, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours La Roche VF, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Caen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caen 1.5 xG, La Roche VF 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caen 42%, draw 23%, La Roche VF 35%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: La Roche VF to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caen 1–1 La Roche VF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caen42%fair 2.39 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
La Roche VF35%fair 2.83 · @3.10
2.89Expected goals
1.52Caen xG
1.37La Roche VF xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Caen 1.5 – 1.4 La Roche VF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caen to win✓
42%
2.39
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Draw no bet
Caen (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
La Roche VF +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Caen to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caen / FT Caen✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
Caen – last 6
LWLWWL
3 Oct
@ Fleury 91
2–3
L
24 Sep
vs Rouen
3–2
W
19 Sep
@ Concarneau
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Gobelins
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
27 Aug
vs Bastia
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
La Roche VF – last 6
WWWDDW
3 Oct
vs Aubagne
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Thionville Lusitanos
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Valenciennes
3–2
W
12 Sep
@ Villefranche
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Quevilly
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Orleans
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caen and La Roche VF.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Caen vs La Roche VF?
On our numbers Caen have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and La Roche VF 35%.
How many goals will there be in Caen vs La Roche VF?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caen vs La Roche VF?
Our predicted score is Caen 1–1 La Roche VF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Caen vs La Roche VF?
Caen vs La Roche VF (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
