Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultAmiens to win ✗62% · @1.67
Double chanceAmiens or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Thionville Lusitanos travel to face Amiens on Thursday 29 October in the National 1, with Stade de la Licorne the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Amiens are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Thionville Lusitanos are 11th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Amiens, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Valenciennes, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Thionville Lusitanos, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Versailles, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Amiens, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Thionville Lusitanos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amiens 1.7 xG, Thionville Lusitanos 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amiens 62%, draw 23%, Thionville Lusitanos 14%.
Lower-risk option: Amiens or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Amiens to win (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amiens 1–0 Thionville Lusitanos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amiens62%fair 1.60 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.40
Thionville Lusitanos14%fair 6.93 · @4.20
2.40Expected goals
1.72Amiens xG
0.68Thionville Lusitanos xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Amiens 1.7 – 0.7 Thionville Lusitanos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amiens to win✗
62%
1.60
1.67
Double chance
Amiens or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Draw no bet
Amiens (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Amiens -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Amiens to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Amiens ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amiens / FT Amiens✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Amiens – last 6
DWDWDW
17 Oct
@ Valenciennes
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Villefranche
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Quevilly
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Orleans
2–0
W
10 Sep
@ Cannes
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Bastia
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Thionville Lusitanos – last 6
LLLDLD
17 Oct
vs Versailles
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs La Roche VF
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Fleury 91
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Rouen
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Concarneau
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amiens and Thionville Lusitanos.
What is the prediction for Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Our pick is Amiens to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
On our numbers Amiens have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Thionville Lusitanos 14%.
How many goals will there be in Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Our predicted score is Amiens 1–0 Thionville Lusitanos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Licorne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
