Value bet: SC Freiburg to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSC Freiburg to win ✓56% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Werder Bremen travel to face SC Freiburg on Sunday 30 August in the Bundesliga, with Europa-Park Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, SC Freiburg are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 9 matches; Werder Bremen are 6th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
SC Freiburg, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Motherwell, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Werder Bremen, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lüneburger SK Hansa, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours SC Freiburg, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Werder Bremen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SC Freiburg 1.8 xG, Werder Bremen 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SC Freiburg 56%, draw 21%, Werder Bremen 22%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: SC Freiburg to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Freiburg 1–1 Werder Bremen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SC Freiburg56%fair 1.78 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.65
Werder Bremen22%fair 4.47 · @3.70
2.88Expected goals
1.82SC Freiburg xG
1.05Werder Bremen xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: SC Freiburg 1.8 – 1.1 Werder Bremen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Freiburg to win✓
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.62
Draw no bet
SC Freiburg (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Werder Bremen +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.15
First team to score
SC Freiburg to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
SC Freiburg ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Freiburg / FT SC Freiburg✓
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
SC Freiburg – last 6
WWWWWW
27 Aug
vs Motherwell
4–1
W
23 Aug
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
5–1
W
20 Aug
@ Motherwell
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Crystal Palace
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Strasbourg
2–0
W
24 Jul
vs Derby
3–1
W
3.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Werder Bremen – last 6
WLDWWW
22 Aug
@ Lüneburger SK Hansa
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Auxerre
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs SC Paderborn 07
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Energie Cottbus
4–2
W
25 Jul
vs VfL Bochum
2–0
W
22 Jul
vs Fagiano Okayama
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Freiburg and Werder Bremen.
What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
On our numbers SC Freiburg have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Werder Bremen 22%.
How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
Our predicted score is SC Freiburg 1–1 Werder Bremen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Europa-Park Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
