Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @2.38
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.39
Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga, played at Volksparkstadion. In the table, Hamburger SV are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 9 matches; FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (lower half) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hamburger SV, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Borussia Dortmund, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
FSV Mainz 05, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with SC Paderborn 07, at home. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FSV Mainz 05, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Hamburger SV.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamburger SV 0.5 xG, FSV Mainz 05 0.5 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamburger SV 39%, draw 22%, FSV Mainz 05 39%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 2.38.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 2.38 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamburger SV 0–0 FSV Mainz 05. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamburger SV39%fair 2.54 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
FSV Mainz 0539%fair 2.57 · @2.40
1.00Expected goals
0.50Hamburger SV xG
0.50FSV Mainz 05 xG
50%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–037%
1–019%
0–118%
1–19%
2–05%
0–25%
From our goals model: Hamburger SV 0.5 – 0.5 FSV Mainz 05 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.38.
Who will win Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
On our numbers Hamburger SV have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FSV Mainz 05 39%.
How many goals will there be in Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
Our predicted score is Hamburger SV 0–0 FSV Mainz 05, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Volksparkstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
