RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
RB Leipzig welcome Hamburger SV to Red Bull Arena for a Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 13 September (14:30 WAT). In the table, RB Leipzig are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Hamburger SV are 11th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
RB Leipzig, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Como, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Hamburger SV, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to FSV Mainz 05, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RB Leipzig 2.5 xG, Hamburger SV 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RB Leipzig 68%, draw 19%, Hamburger SV 13%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was RB Leipzig to win (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RB Leipzig68%fair 1.47 · @1.35
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @5.00
Hamburger SV13%fair 7.64 · @7.00
3.50Expected goals
2.47RB Leipzig xG
1.03Hamburger SV xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: RB Leipzig 2.5 – 1.0 Hamburger SV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
Our pick is RB Leipzig to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
On our numbers RB Leipzig have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hamburger SV 13%.
How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
Our predicted score is RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Red Bull Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
