Union Berlin 43%Draw 22%FC Schalke 04 35%Expected goals 1.72 – 1.53
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion Berlin to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Schalke 04 travel to face Union Berlin on Friday 11 September in the Bundesliga – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Union Berlin are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 9 matches; FC Schalke 04 are 17th (in the drop zone) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Union Berlin, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
FC Schalke 04, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bayern München, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Berlin 1.7 xG, FC Schalke 04 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Berlin 43%, draw 22%, FC Schalke 04 35%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Berlin 1–1 FC Schalke 04. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Berlin43%fair 2.31 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
FC Schalke 0435%fair 2.84 · @2.90
3.25Expected goals
1.72Union Berlin xG
1.53FC Schalke 04 xG
67%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Union Berlin 1.7 – 1.5 FC Schalke 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Berlin to win✗
43%
2.31
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.53
Draw no bet
Union Berlin (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
FC Schalke 04 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Union Berlin to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Berlin / FT Union Berlin✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
Union Berlin – last 6
LDWLWD
5 Sep
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
3–3
D
23 Aug
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Ipswich
2–4
L
9 Aug
vs Aris
3–2
W
2 Aug
vs Cagliari
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Schalke 04 – last 6
DLDLLW
5 Sep
vs Bayern München
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ FC Augsburg
0–3
L
24 Aug
@ Hallescher FC
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Real Madrid
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Atalanta
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Hessen Kassel
5–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Berlin and FC Schalke 04.
What is the prediction for Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?
On our numbers Union Berlin have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Schalke 04 35%.
How many goals will there be in Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?
Our predicted score is Union Berlin 1–1 FC Schalke 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?
Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
