Bayern München vs Union Berlin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bayern München welcome Union Berlin to Allianz Arena for a Bundesliga fixture on Friday 18 September (19:30 WAT). In the table, Bayern München are 1st, leading the league, on 21 points after 9 matches; Union Berlin are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bayern München, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over SV Elversberg, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Union Berlin, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FC Schalke 04, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Bayern München, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Union Berlin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bayern München 2.8 xG, Union Berlin 1.0 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bayern München 76%, draw 12%, Union Berlin 12%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bayern München 2–1 Union Berlin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bayern München76%fair 1.32 · @1.06
Draw12%fair 8.20 · @15.00
Union Berlin12%fair 8.51 · @23.00
3.83Expected goals
2.82Bayern München xG
1.01Union Berlin xG
52%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Bayern München 2.8 – 1.0 Union Berlin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayern München to win✓
76%
1.32
1.06
Double chance
Bayern München or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Draw no bet
Bayern München (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Bayern München -1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
First team to score
Bayern München to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Bayern München ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayern München / FT Bayern München✓
52%
1.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
Bayern München – last 6
WWDWWW
13 Sep
@ SV Elversberg
2–1
W
10 Sep
vs BodoGlimt
5–0
W
5 Sep
@ FC Schalke 04
0–0
D
2 Sep
@ VfL Osnabrück
4–1
W
28 Aug
vs VfB Stuttgart
5–1
W
22 Aug
@ Borussia Dortmund
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Union Berlin – last 6
LLDWLW
11 Sep
vs FC Schalke 04
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
3–3
D
23 Aug
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Ipswich
2–4
L
9 Aug
vs Aris
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayern München and Union Berlin.
What is the prediction for Bayern München vs Union Berlin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Bayern München vs Union Berlin?
On our numbers Bayern München have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Union Berlin 12%.
How many goals will there be in Bayern München vs Union Berlin?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayern München vs Union Berlin?
Our predicted score is Bayern München 2–1 Union Berlin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Bayern München vs Union Berlin?
Bayern München vs Union Berlin (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
